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Forecasted Mortgage Trends in 2024

January 8, 2024


The 2024 mortgage market promises to be a dynamic one, with several key trends expected to shape the landscape for both borrowers and lenders. Here's a glimpse into what you can expect:



1. Gradual decline in mortgage rates: After a rollercoaster ride in 2023, experts predict a steadier descent for mortgage rates in 2024. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) forecasts a fall to 6.1% by year-end, while the National Association of Realtors (NAR) expects rates to be at 6.3%. This gradual decrease should provide welcome relief to potential homebuyers who were priced out by the higher rates of 2023.

2. Increased affordability: As mortgage rates decline, affordability is expected to improve for homebuyers. This means that more people will be able to qualify for mortgages and purchase homes. However, it's important to remember that home prices are still rising, so affordability gains may be somewhat offset by this factor.

3. Shift towards first-time buyers: With improving affordability, the market is expected to see a larger share of first-time buyers. This demographic is likely to be attracted by lower rates and government programs designed to assist them with homeownership.

4. Focus on technology: The mortgage industry is expected to continue its embrace of technology in 2024. This includes the use of online applications, and e-signatures to streamline the loan process. Lenders who can offer a seamless and efficient digital experience will be at an advantage.

5. Regional variations: Mortgage trends are likely to vary depending on the region. For example, areas with strong job markets and high housing demand may see continued price increases, while areas with weaker economies may see price stabilization or even declines.

Overall, the 2024 mortgage market is expected to be a more positive one for borrowers, with lower rates and improved affordability. However, it's still important to shop around for the best deals and to choose a lender that meets your individual needs.

Here are some additional things to keep in mind:

  • The Federal Reserve's monetary policy will continue to play a major role in mortgage rates. If the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates are likely to rise as well.


  • The geopolitical situation could also impact the mortgage market. For example, an international crisis could lead to economic uncertainty and higher interest rates.


  • It's always a good idea to consult with a financial advisor before making any major financial decisions, such as buying a home.
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